Sources of uncertainties in 21st century projections of potential ocean ecosystem stressors

arctic-sea-ice-nasa-kathryn-hansen-940x627The ocean has provided incredible services for us — taking up 28% of carbon emissions since preindustrial levels and absorbing 93% of the Earth’s excess heat since the 1970s — but because of this, it is undergoing changes. In order to manage ocean ecosystems and resources in the future, we must begin to understand what those changes may look like using climate change impact projections.

The paper “Sources of uncertainties in 21st century projections of potential ocean ecosystem stressors” has been recently accepted for upcoming publication in the journal Global Biogeochemical Cycles. It was co-authored by Nereus Alumnus Thomas Frölicher (ETH Zurich), Nereus Principal Investigator Charles Stock (NOAA), and CORU Leader William Cheung. The paper examines sources of uncertainty in global and regional climate change impact projections, including projections on the impacts of acidification, warming, deoxygenation and changes in ocean productivity.

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